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Factors of the Future - Peak Oil Preparedness
at the end of the world, will you feel fine?
theheretic
peakoil_prep
theheretic
Factors of the Future
A list of near future concerns for you.
  1. Low employment rates. Jobs largely menial labor where human effort is cheaper than paying for a robot. Humans are cheaper than machines or robots for the hopper filler and orientation jobs. We're also better at being shopkeepers and cleanup jobs than robots. Lucky for us there's a fair number of those sorts of jobs.
  2. Homegrown food and raising chickens. We'll eat lots of eggs, leaving us reliant on cracked corn feed, upside being they're cheap and ship by train so we'll still have access for a good long time. Canning and freezing veggies (canning not dependent on reliable electric power). Watch "Olivers Twist", a cooking show from London where the host
    collects ingredients on the back of his scooter and hosts dinner parties for friends. At 90 mpg, its appropriate for around town shopping.
  3. Trade tariffs resulting from the collapse of the dollar and euro and job protectionism by the typical crooked fear mongering politicians means that imported parts and equipment will be so expensive they're unavailable. This means imported cars and computers etc will be nearly unavailable.
  4. Fuel prices. I actually have a number there for you thanks to a contact in biotech (my job). A local company completed test phase and is scaling up, selling cost is around $33/gal for biodiesel. This can be bought by local refineries and cracked into synthetic gasoline to run in our vehicles. Quantities will probably drive prices at the pump even higher so consider the $33/gal a general price. Expect to get to work on a bicycle, and once you save enough money, a scooter. Loans may end up a thing of the past, if there's enough bankruptcies.
  5. Knowledge isn't lost. Technical advancement will continue. However, advancement will be balanced against practicality. Not because of newly gained ancient wisdom, but because idiots go broke and thus lose the power to make those sorts of choices. That's the biggest upside of Capitalism when operating at the small scale. Stupidity leads to Darwinism. This needs to be more strongly enforced at the Large Scale, perhaps via regulation that scales up with "operating capital" etc.
  6. People who can successfully operate at the small scale, on a small budget, with small needs and small dreams will be inherently stronger than those who insist on doing things Big. Big is over. Big cars, big vacations, big houses, big meals, big spending. That is over.
  7. Power outages are reasonable, but not certain. They may have some duration, but they probably won't be permanent. They will be annoying and frequent enough to justify either adapting to blackouts or getting backups in place. Thus the flashlight and canned foods.


Good prep these days is shrink your living expenses down. Reduce hobbies to cheap ones, if you can. Learn to cook and diet smart. Buy a jacket, helmet, and gloves for riding a scooter. Pay off your debts, if you can. While its possible you'll be able to get bankruptcy to work for you, the former President basically annulled the whole thing by denying protection from Credit Card debts in Bankruptcy. Get used to the idea of minimal stuff, away from the idea of owning things, of collections in general. Objects are temporary. Skills are permanent. Minimalism is king. Do you want to be King?

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Comments
squidb0i From: squidb0i Date: August 31st, 2011 04:36 am (UTC) (Link)
1. Also, security and other services for those that still have money.
harleynmt From: harleynmt Date: September 1st, 2011 09:27 pm (UTC) (Link)
Any company that thinks selling biodiesel for $33/gallon is sustainable is the one that needs to worry about bankruptcy. I can produce it myself, on a very small scale, for $1.20 a gallon.
theheretic From: theheretic Date: September 2nd, 2011 08:49 am (UTC) (Link)
Do you grow the source of the cooking oil yourself? I'm guessing that's a no, and that you get it "used" from fast food restaurants, right? That is how most people do it. Those are going away, and the remaining greasy spoons are going to SELL their used cooking oil for as much as they can get for it, or contract to have it made into biodiesel for just slightly less than regular diesel costs. Profit is how businesses work. Free used oil is a temporary thing and is not sustainable. That algal biodiesel is making the oil using the algae. It really is sustainable.
harleynmt From: harleynmt Date: September 2nd, 2011 01:02 pm (UTC) (Link)
Did you say "algal biodiesel" in your original post? No, you did not.

And let me know when those fast food restaurants start going away. Until then, I'll stick with what I'm doing.
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